Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.316851 0.342062 0.369025 0.400126 0.435157 0.473569 0.519110
2025-11-16 0.269200 0.303835 0.343393 0.392405 0.452195 0.523696 0.617126
2025-11-23 0.241053 0.280050 0.326570 0.387111 0.465295 0.565046 0.705749
2025-11-30 0.225915 0.268708 0.321618 0.393397 0.490817 0.622601 0.822403
2025-12-07 0.210996 0.255579 0.312273 0.391790 0.504214 0.664028 0.922254
2025-12-14 0.198658 0.244373 0.303914 0.389878 0.515906 0.703353 1.025009
2025-12-21 0.185738 0.231251 0.291657 0.380912 0.515690 0.723857 1.100061
2025-12-28 0.180395 0.227749 0.291996 0.389557 0.542209 0.789197 1.265996
2026-01-04 0.174479 0.222951 0.289983 0.394267 0.562750 0.847309 1.432474
2026-01-11 0.167918 0.216770 0.285440 0.394528 0.575804 0.894012 1.588000
2026-01-18 0.159999 0.208176 0.276758 0.387500 0.575676 0.916457 1.696967
2026-01-25 0.151630 0.198497 0.265876 0.376085 0.566714 0.920758 1.765274
2026-02-01 0.144633 0.190662 0.257587 0.368689 0.564889 0.940320 1.881115
2026-02-08 0.138545 0.183909 0.250614 0.363022 0.565769 0.965931 2.022874
2026-02-15 0.133196 0.177983 0.244556 0.358376 0.567953 0.994527 2.183594
2026-02-22 0.130620 0.176064 0.244583 0.364003 0.590105 1.070215 2.515413
2026-03-01 0.126677 0.171870 0.240746 0.362567 0.598241 1.115699 2.774821
2026-03-08 0.122954 0.167838 0.236937 0.360857 0.605575 1.160644 3.057101
2026-03-15 0.118189 0.161998 0.229902 0.352834 0.599055 1.170338 3.213402
2026-03-22 0.116871 0.161456 0.231475 0.360570 0.626397 1.271715 3.808952
2026-03-29 0.114940 0.159854 0.231182 0.364782 0.646629 1.359139 4.422287
2026-04-05 0.112384 0.157150 0.228892 0.365015 0.658021 1.424616 4.992264
2026-04-12 0.108812 0.152686 0.223410 0.358730 0.653861 1.443813 5.326490